Michigan
W-L: (27- 7) PR = 98.0418Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) **-40 1109 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 84-55 1115 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 93-54 1118 A Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) **-50 1121 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 69-72 1123 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 81-55 1126 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) **-53 1203 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 82-40 1207 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) **-56 1213 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 85-59 1221 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 97-54 1229 A Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 92-** 101 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 52-64 105 A Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 70-60 108 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) **-65 111 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 86-60 115 A Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 85-69 119 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 69-72 122 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 94-60 125 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 73-67 129 A Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 95-67 201 A Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 94-91 204 A Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 88-76 208 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 66-69 212 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 80-58 215 A Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 86-65 222 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 44-62 225 A Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 88-86 228 A Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 87-69 306 A Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 80-58 307 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 42-59 320 A Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 83-48 322 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 92-63 328 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 71-52
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Canisius **-40 60 7 0.00
1109 A Harvard 84-55 29 3 0.00
1115 A Notre Dame 93-54 39 1 1.07
1118 A Binghamton **-50 70 4 0.00
1121 H Connecticut 69-72 -3 -1 -0.71
1123 A Syracuse 81-55 26 2 0.46
1126 A Detroit **-53 49 6 0.00
1203 A Ce Michigan 82-40 42 4 0.00
1207 A Purdue **-56 48 2 0.00
1213 A Akron 85-59 26 6 0.00
1221 A Oakland 97-54 43 5 0.00
1229 A Oregon 92-** -12 1 - -3.01
101 H Washington 52-64 -12 1 - -3.06
105 A Minnesota 70-60 10 1 1.23
108 A Penn St **-65 40 3 0.00
111 A Wisconsin 86-60 26 2 0.00
115 A Illinois 85-69 16 1 0.67
119 H Vanderbilt 69-72 -3 0 -2.00
122 A Rutgers 94-60 34 3 0.00
125 A USC 73-67 6 1 0.81
129 A Indiana 95-67 28 2 0.05
201 A Michigan St 94-91 3 1 1.16
204 A Nebraska 88-76 12 2 0.32
208 H UCLA 66-69 -3 -2 -0.15
212 A Northwestern 80-58 22 3 0.00
215 A Michigan St 86-65 21 1 1.16
222 H Iowa 44-62 -18 0 - -2.09
225 A Ohio St 88-86 2 0 1.89
228 A Maryland 87-69 18 1 1.19
306 A Oregon 80-58 22 1 0.99
307 H Iowa 42-59 -17 0 - -2.09
320 A Holy Cross 83-48 35 4 0.00
322 A NC State 92-63 29 1 0.60
328 A Louisville 71-52 19 1 1.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1229 A Oregon 92-** -12 1 - -3.01 101 H Washington 52-64 -12 1 - -3.06 222 H Iowa 44-62 -18 0 - -2.09 307 H Iowa 42-59 -17 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) **-40 -9.06 1.90 0.01 0.89 3.40
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 84-55 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.89 11.14
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 93-54 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.89 14.59
3 A Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) **-50 -6.12 4.84 0.01 0.89 8.66
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 69-72 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.89 -0.25
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 81-55 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.89 13.50
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) **-53 -7.59 3.37 0.01 0.89 6.03
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 82-40 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.89 9.66
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) **-56 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.89 11.83
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 85-59 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.89 6.15
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 97-54 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.89 7.62
3 A Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 92-** -2.88 8.08 0.01 0.89 -1.28
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 52-64 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.89 -1.30
3 A Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 70-60 -2.64 8.32 0.01 0.89 14.87
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) **-65 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.89 11.68
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 86-60 -4.32 6.64 0.01 0.89 11.87
3 A Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 85-69 -3.20 7.76 0.01 0.89 13.88
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 69-72 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.89 -0.83
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 94-60 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.89 10.04
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 73-67 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.89 14.13
3 A Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 95-67 -3.81 7.15 0.01 0.89 12.78
3 A Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 94-91 -2.71 8.25 0.01 0.89 14.75
3 A Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 88-76 -3.55 7.41 0.01 0.89 13.24
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 66-69 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.89 -0.00
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 80-58 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.89 10.36
3 A Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 86-65 -2.71 8.25 0.01 0.89 14.75
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 44-62 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.89 -0.87
3 A Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 88-86 -1.98 8.98 0.01 0.89 16.05
3 A Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 87-69 -2.68 8.28 0.01 0.89 14.80
3 A Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 80-58 -2.88 8.08 0.01 0.89 14.45
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 42-59 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.89 -0.87
3 A Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 83-48 -5.80 5.16 0.01 0.89 9.23
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 92-63 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.89 13.74
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 71-52 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.89 15.35
------
313.16
|
winning pts = 318.5663 losing points = -5.4062
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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